Fantasy Football Takeaways: Jahmyr Gibbs Headlines Utilization Report For Week 15

Let's follow the data to identify the top waiver wire options, trade targets, upgrades, and downgrades based on what we learned last weekend and how we can apply it to Week 15 and beyond.

If you love all the sweet Utilization data below, you can access it all for yourself!

Comparison tool
Team-based views with game logs
League-wide views for NFL leaders
Customizable time periods and sample sizes
Seasons: 2020 to 2025

Why should you care about the Utilization Score? Read this.

Get 20% off a Tier 2 FantasyLife+ subscription by using code: Dwain.

Use the Utilization Report suite of tools to dominate your league, y'all!

1. Dan Campbell is feeding Jahmyr Gibbs.

The fantasy football season is full of seasons within a season. In the first month, Christian McCaffrey was the RB1 with 24 points per game (PPG). Then Jonathan Taylor took over the mantle in October with 31.7 PPG. November unlocked De'Von Achane to the tune of 27.1 PPG. Now, Gibbs is looking to claim the RB1 distinction for December in the fantasy playoffs.

Often, these surges can be due to variance. For example, all of the backs above are good players who have been in steady roles this year; they just got hot at different times. The notable part is that Gibbs' role has changed since Campbell assumed play-calling duties. Since Week 10, Gibbs has averaged a mind-blowing 32.4 points with a 93 Utilization Score over five games with Campbell clutching the playsheet.

Just how much has his Gibbs role changed?

Snaps: 62% → 67%
Attempts: 52% → 62% (14.1 → 14.6 per game)
Routes: 52% → 62%
Targets: 14% → 23% (3.9 → 7.0)
Utilization Score: 80 → 93
Fantasy PPG: 18.2 → 32.4

While the former Round 1 NFL Draft pick is up across all categories, his surge in targets is the big difference. It has put him in the same category as CMC and Achane as an elite dual-threat RB. However, he is more explosive than CMC and in a better offense than either CMC or Achane.

Of backs with at least 150 attempts, Gibbs ranks second behind Achane in yards per carry (5.7), and third in percentage of carries to go for 10-plus yards (14%). The Lions' offense ranks second in TDs per drive (33%) behind the Rams (36%).

Of course, this uptick in passing-game involvement isn't entirely tied to Campbell's playcall sheet. Sam LaPorta was placed on IR in Week 11. Historically, across the NFL, we have seen a macro relationship between the give-and-take between RB and TE targets. When TEs are up, RBs are down, and vice versa. This isn't true in every case, but there is something to it. And in this case, Gibbs—who was the best receiving RB prospect since CMC and Alvin Kamara—is maximizing the absence of LaPorta with a whopping 7.8 targets per game.

If you have Gibbs on your fantasy roster, it is very likely to be a massive advantage for your fantasy team during the stretch run—he isn't a lock to be the RB1 in December, but if I were drafting today, he would be the No. 1 pick.

Gibbs' 21 historical Utilization Score (93) comparisons have averaged 19.6 points per game, with 81% finishing in the top six. The other 19% were in RB7 to RB12 territory.

Gibbs is an elite high-end RB1 with a great chance to finish the season as the most valuable player in the fantasy playoffs.

2. Harold Fannin Jr. has taken over a full-time role.

Fannin has received multiple shoutouts in the Utilization Report throughout the season based on his strong target-earning ability and playmaking upside. However, a recent shift in playing time, paired with newfound upside in the passing attack with Shedeur Sanders, has the rookie third-round NFL Draft selection poised to make a significant contribution in the fantasy playoffs.

Over the last three games, Fannin has an 87% route participation rate, unlocking a 28% target share. Over that span, with Sanders at QB, he has an 84 Utilization Score with 15 PPG.

The most important aspect of his role in these games: they have occurred with David Njoku. We have a small caveat in Week 14 because Njoku was injured on the third drive. However, Fannin had an 83% route participation before the injury.

Sanders still has question marks, but his 364 yards and three touchdowns in Week 14 are by far the highest marks for the Browns in 2025. Dillon Gabriel averaged 170 passing yards (5.2 yards per attempt) with 1.2 TDs in five full games. Sanders has dwarfed that with 240 (8.3 YPA) and 1.7. Additionally, defenses have to respect the deep throw with Sanders, which opens up room for Fannin underneath. Sanders has eclipsed Gabriel's average depth of target by 1.8 yards per attempt (7.6 vs. 5.8). Per PFF, his big-time throw rate of 20% almost doubles Gabriel's 11%.

As I write these words, the Eurythmics' 80s hit Sweet Dreams just came on. Everybody's looking for something, y'all. That something could be Fannin. His historical Utilization Score comparisons have averaged 13.4 points per game, with 42% of them landing in the top three.

TE1 to TE3 performers: 42%
TE4 to TE6 performers: 50%
TE7 to TE9 performers: 8%

Fannin is a mid-range TE1 with high-end TE1 upside the rest of the way. He is available in 60% of Yahoo leagues and could be the antidote that helps you offset the likes of Trey McBride, Brock Bowers, and George Kittle in the fantasy playoffs.

3. RJ Harvey has top-12 upside despite a tough schedule.

This is the third time in four weeks for Harvey to earn one of the top takeaways in the Utilization Report. However, he has earned that right. We now have a sample of three games with Harvey as the lead back for Denver. Over that span, he is the RB9 in fantasy with 17.1 points per game and a 79 Utilization Score.

In Week 14, we saw Harvey reach season-highs in snaps (68%), route participation rate (60%), and he tied a season-high in targets (16%). That led to 16 attempts and six targets. Harvey notched his best Utilization Score (92) and fantasy outing of the season with 22 points—his second consecutive game over 21.

The second-round NFL Draft pick benefits from playing on a team with high playoff aspirations, an elite defense, and a top-10 run-blocking offensive line per PFF, earning a grade of 82.1. The upcoming schedule against the Packers (-2.4 fantasy boost), Jaguars (-3.1), and Chiefs (-2.6) isn't easy, but these should be competitive games with Harvey featured in a key role.

Harvey's historical Utilization Score (79) comparisons have averaged 15.4 points, with 41% securing top-12 finishes.

RB1 to RB6 performers: 15%
RB7 to RB12 performers: 27%
RB13 to RB18 performers: 37%
RB19 to RB24 performers: 17%
RB25 to RB30 performers: 5%

Harvey is a high-end RB2 with RB1 upside.

4. Michael Wilson without Marvin Harrison Jr.: Alpha.

In three contests without Harrison, Wilson has been an elite WR1. Over that span, he has averaged 30.8 fantasy points with 16 targets per game (34%) and 190 air yards per game. His average Utilization Score of 97 is a mark we rarely see reached over a three-game sample.

Overall, it is still a small sample—we can see significant variance in three-game windows. Examples of three-game boom stretches in 2025:

Romeo Doubs (W4 to W6): 20.2 PPG, 89 Utilization Score
Jordan Addison (W5 to W7): 18.5 PPG, 87 Utilization Score
Michael Pittman Jr. (W7 to W9): 20.9 PPG, 89 Utilization Score
Wan'Dale Robinson (W10 to W12): 16.1 PPG, 88 Utilization Score

However, Wilson has done his part, demonstrating massive upside when given his opportunities—his three-game boom towers over the examples above. More importantly, he has shown he can earn those opportunities. Wilson clearly has top-12 upside the rest of the way in a pure runout.

The caveat is Harrison's health. In Week 13, we saw Wilson retreat to No. 3 target status for the Cardinals with Harrison active. That is also a small sample, and doesn't mean Wilson can't supplant Harrison as the No. 2 upon his return from a heel injury, but it is an unknown.

Wilson profiles as a WR1 in games without Harrison, but should be treated as a WR3 in games with Harrison until we see him prove otherwise.

5. Kyle Pitts has been a top-seven TE without Drake London.

Rarely do we see two TEs grace the top-five takeaways in the same week, but all we can do is follow the data. In three games with Kirk Cousins as the starter and London out of the lineup, Pitts has been the No. 1 target for the Falcons. His 28% target share is tied with Fannin over that span. The former No. 4 overall draft pick ranks seventh in Utilization Score (81) and fantasy points per game (11.6).

We don't know if or when London will return from his PCL injury, which can be tricky to predict, according to Doctor of Physical Therapy Jeff Mueller. If you haven't checked out the most recent episode of Talk Data to Me, you should. He breaks down his process for evaluating NFL injuries, including multiple players like London and his rest-of-season expectations.

Based on his last three games, Pitts' historical Utilization Score comparisons averaged 12.5 points per game, and 71% were top-six performers.

Pitts is a mid-range TE1 in games without London.

6. Utilization Score Under & Overperformers

The Utilization Score is made up of the fantasy data points that have historically correlated the most strongly with future fantasy success. It is a similar but different concept compared to expected fantasy points. How it differs:

Accounts for snaps and routes in addition to attempts and targets.
Accounts for catchable targets and catchable air yards.
The underlying role accounts for ~75% of a player's Utilization Score.
Uses fantasy points per game (PPG) as a proxy for talent (i.e., has the player done something with their opportunities). Fantasy PPG is worth ~25% of a player's Utilization Score.

Underperformers are candidates for positive regression, making them potential buy-low targets. Overperformers are candidates for negative regression, making them sell-high options.

Terry McLaurin | WR | Commanders (positive regression candidate)

Utilization Score last five weeks: 79
Fantasy points per game last five weeks: 14.9
Historical comps: 15.7
- WR1 to WR12: 41%
- WR13 to WR24: 49%
- WR25 to WR36: 10%

Javonte Williams | RB | Cowboys (positive regression candidate)

Utilization Score last five weeks: 78
Fantasy points per game last five weeks: 13.5
Historical comps: 15.0
- RB1 to RB12 performers: 35%
- RB13 to RB24 performers: 60%
- RB25 to RB36 performers: 5%

7. Utilization Score Trends

Trending Up

Kareem Hunt | RB | Chiefs: Hunt's Utilization Score is up seven points over the last four games. Despite the return of Isiah Pacheco to the lineup, Hunt has held onto the lead role over the last two contests. Over that span, the veteran RB has accounted for 63% of snaps, 62% of attempts, and led the team with a 59% route participation rate. He has averaged only 9.0 points, but his historical Utilization Score (64) has averaged 12.1. The majority of his comps (50%) finished between RB25 and RB36. Hunt profiles as a mid-range RB3.
Jakobi Meyers | WR | Jaguars: Meyers' Utilization Score has skyrocketed 15 points in four full games with Jacksonville. He has a score of 74 over that stretch and leads the team in route participation (90%), target share (27%), end zone targets (38%), and fantasy points with 15.6 per contest. His historical comps suggest Meyers is slightly overperforming—they averaged 14.5 points—but the majority (59%) of them were WR2s. Meyers profiles as a borderline WR2.
Colston Loveland | TE | Bears: Loveland continues to share playing time with Cole Kmet, but he leads the TE room in route participation rate (63%) over the last four games. Over that stretch, he has a 21% targets per route run (TPRR) and has upped his Utilization Score by four points. His 65 Utilization Score puts him in the high-end TE2 conversation. His historical comparisons averaged 9.4 points, which is lower than his 10.2, but Loveland is a talented young TE who could still increase his playing time before the season's end.

Trending Down

Kyren Williams | RB | Rams: The Rams are making Williams share the workload more than ever, and his Utilization Score has fallen by four points over the last four games. Blake Corum is a thing. The second-year back has siphoned 33% or more of the carries in seven straight games. Over the first six weeks, Williams handed 70% of the attempts. Since Corum emerged, it has dropped to 55%. Over that seven-game stretch, Williams has a 68 Utilization Score. Williams has averaged 14.5 points over that span, but historical comparisons averaged 13.1 points. The Rams are the No. 1 offense in the NFL, which makes Williams a viable RB2 the rest of the way. We just need to keep our expectations in check. If Corum were to miss time, Williams would offer high-end RB1 upside.
Romeo Doubs | WR | Packers: From Week 3 to Week 9, Doubs was Green Bay's WR1 with an 89% route participation rate and a 24% target share. However, the WR room has gotten healthier since then, with Christian Watson, Jayden Reed and Dontayvion Wicks all vying for reps. Over the last four contests, Doubs' route participation rate is 75% and his target share has dipped to 16%. His Utilization Score has fallen by 7 points and now rests at 57 for the season. The majority of his comps (47%) have finished as low-end WR4s or high-end WR5s. Doubs is a borderline WR4.
Tyler Warren | TE | Colts: Warren continues to earn targets with a 21% target share over the last four games, but as the Colts offense has regressed, so has his production. During that span, his Utilization Score has fallen three points to a 78 on the season. With Daniel Jones (Achilles) now out for the season, the rookie has his work cut out for him with Riley Leonard and Anthony Richardson (maybe) as the top two options at QB. Warren's historical comparisons have averaged 12.2 points, but he is trending in the wrong direction. Warren downgrades to mid-range TE1 territory and could fall further depending on QB performance.

8. Waiver Wire Roundup

RB

Blake Corum | Rams: Corum will likely be one of the top waiver wire targets this week after a 26.1-point performance in Week 14 against the Cardinals. The second-year back remains the RB2 behind Williams, but has carved out a nice role in the best offense in the NFL. In Week 7, the Rams shifted away from Williams as a bellcow option, integrating Corum as a complementary option. Over that span, he has averaged 10.3 attempts and 0.6 targets per game. He is a boom-bust RB4, but might be the No. 1 handcuff in fantasy football. If Williams were to miss time, Corum would immediately surge into top-12 territory. He is available in 67% of leagues.
Jaylen Wright | Dolphins: De'Von Achane was forced out of Week 14 action on the seventh drive due to a rib injury. Over the final seven possessions, it was Wright, not Ollie Gordon, dominating the Miami backfield with a 73% snap share, 75% attempt share, and 57% route participation rate. Wright will be a borderline RB2 with upside should Achane miss time. Wright is available in 97% of leagues.
Brian Robinson Jr. | Commanders: This is just a reminder that Robinson is the clear-cut RB2 behind CMC and might have been cut in your league due to the 49ers bye. Robinson is a top-five handcuff option and is available in 79% of leagues.
Rasheen Ali | Ravens: Keaton Mitchell suffered a knee injury against the Steelers in Week 14. Justice Hill is on IR, and his earliest chance of return is Week 17. That leaves Ali as the handcuff to Derrick Henry if Mitchell misses time. Ali has a 40% snap share over the last two games, thanks to his role as the passing-downs option. He could offer sneaky dual-threat goodness should Henry miss any time. Ali is available in 99% of leagues.

WR

Jayden Reed | Packers: Reed returned to action in Week 14 against the Bears. He immediately stepped back into the starting slot role, posting a 65% route participation rate. While Reed appears destined for a part-time role in Green Bay, his big-play ability and the Packers' need for an intermediate playmaker with Tucker Kraft gone open the door for upside. Reed tied Watson for the team lead in targets with four and added two rushing attempts. In two healthy games, he has delivered 13.5 and 9.3 points this season. Reed is a boom-bust WR4 option and is available in 59% of leagues.
Luther Burden | Bears: Burden didn't get the massive bump in playing time that fantasy players were hoping for with Rome Odunze (stress fracture in foot) sidelined. Instead, it was Olamide Zaccheaus taking over the WR2 duties with an 85% route participation rate. Still, Burden notched a season-high 69% participation and has settled in as the WR3. Since taking over that role, he has led the team in targets per route run at 23%, and is second in target share (19%) behind Odunze. He is very similar to Reed. Burden is a very talented player who also contributes in the rushing department, with a 2% rush share over the last four outings. Theoretically, he also offers a better path to more playing time. We don't know that he can't surpass DJ Moore for the WR2 role. Burden is a boom-bust WR4 but has a path to WR2 status. He is available in 83% of leagues.
Ryan Flournoy | Cowboys: With CeeDee Lamb suffering a concussion in Week 14, Flournoy stepped into the WR2 role for Dallas. He scored 26.5 fantasy points and notched a 95 Utilization Score. He was the No. 1 target for the offense with a 28% target share, including two looks in the end zone. The Cowboys might have hit on something with their Round 6 pick from the 2024 draft. In four games where Flournoy has played 60%-plus passing plays, he has averaged 15.1 fantasy points with a 21% target share. He has a 26% TPRR and 2.36 yards per route run (YPRR) in those games. It's a small sample, and there was a busted-coverage long TD in there, inflating YPRR, but those are WR1-level numbers. The Vikings are the toughest matchup for WRs in fantasy (-6.3 fantasy boost), but Flournoy would enter WR4 territory this week if Lamb is out. If you play in a dynasty league or a league that allows keepers from the waiver wire, Flournoy has additional appeal given that George Pickens is a free agent after 2025. Flournoy is available in 99% of leagues.

TE

Harold Fannin Jr. | Browns: See No. 2 from above. Fannin is available in 60% of leagues and is a priority waiver-wire target if you need TE help.

Utilization Bytes For Week 15

Running Back

Bucky Irving | Buccaneers: Irving has averaged 15 rushing attempts and two targets in two games since his return. He has delivered 16.1 points per game with a 69 Utilization Score over that span. Notably, Irving saw an uptick in route participation rate (37% vs. 50%). Irving hasn't reclaimed the early-season elite workload yet, but we saw him thrive in this exact role to finish 2024, averaging 18.5 points from Week 16 through the Wild Card game. Irving is a mid-range RB1.
Chase Brown | Bengals: Brown saw a larger role in Samaje Perine's second game back. Brown garnered a 66% snap share and handled 67% of the attempts. If this is the beginning of a trend, Brown could move back into RB1 status in Week 16.
Devin Neal | Saints: In two games without Alvin Kamara (MCL), Neal has a 77% snap share, 62% rush share, 71% route participation rate and an 8% target share. He has averaged 12.7 points per game with a 75 Utilization Score. Neal is a borderline RB2 in games without Kamara.
James Cook | Bills: Cook tied his season-high snap rate (75%) and posted his second-highest route participation rate (64%) in a Week 14 comeback victory over the Bengals. If this is the beginning of a trend, Cook would offer RB1 overall upside the rest of the way.
Kenneth Gainwell | Steelers: Over the last three outings, Gainwell has carved out a significant role in the Steelers offense with a 52% route participation rate and 18% target share. Jaylen Warren continues to be the lead ball carrier, but Gainwell is active inside the five-yard line with 48% of the snaps over that span. He has averaged 13.6 points with a 65 Utilization Score. Gainwell is a high-end RB3 with RB1 contingency upside if Warren misses any time. If you are in a smaller league, he could be on your waiver wire—he is available in 59% of Yahoo leagues.
Tony Pollard | Titans: Over the last four games, Pollard has bogarted 72% of the Titans' rushing attempts. From Week 11 to Week 13, that didn't lead to much, with only 16.3 points per game. However, the veteran RB popped off for 28.1 points against a stiff Browns defense. Yet another example of how unpredictable this game of ours can be in small samples. And yet another example of how players with volume are capable of posting big performances, despite poor results in previous outings. The catch: Tyjae Spears is still the lead pass-downs option. Pollard is a mid-range RB3.
Travis Etienne | Jaguars: Bhayshul Tuten fumbled twice, leading to a season-low 3% snap share. If the punishment lingers beyond Week 14, Etienne's fantasy value would increase. He posted season-highs in snap share (71%), attempt share (74%) and fantasy points (21.2). He finished the day with a 77 Utilization Score. The Jaguars have leaned into their ground game in six games since their bye week with a -3% dropback rate over expected (DBOE). If this is the beginning of a trend, Etienne would elevate to low-end RB1 territory.
Woody Marks | Texans: Nick Chubb suffered a rib injury in Week 14, opening the door for Marks to dominate 89% of the Texans' snaps. He hogged 87% of the rushing attempts and notched a 12% target share. The rookie finished the day with 15.6 fantasy points and an 85 Utilization Score. The Texans' offensive line leaves much to be desired, and Marks hasn't looked great, but that sort of volume opens the door to bigger performances. Marks is a low-end RB2 with RB1 spike-game potential if Chubb misses time.

Wide Receiver

Adonai Mitchell & John Metchie | Jets: Tyrod Taylor was knocked out of the Jets' Week 14 matchup against the Dolphins. If Taylor misses time, that means Justin Fields or Brady Cook would take over, which would be a downgrade for Mitchell and Metchie. We could also see the return of Garrett Wilson in Week 15. Mitchell and Metchie collected 18% and 24% target shares, respectively, in Week 14 but were only able to deliver 3.4 and 7.4 fantasy points with the QB downgrade. Mitchell downgrades to boom-bust WR4 territory if Taylor is out, and Metchie is a WR5.
Brian Thomas Jr. | Jaguars: Thomas has an 89% route participation rate and 17% target share in two games since his return to the offense. He has a 50 Utilization Score and 8.3 points per game with Jakobi Meyers and Brenton Strange competing for opportunities. Thomas now has a 64 Utilization Score with a 21% target share on the season. His historical comps have averaged 12.4 points with 53% finishing as low-end WR3s or high-end WR4s. Thomas is a boom-bust borderline WR3.
Dontayvion Wicks & Matthew Golden | Packers: With Jayden Reed returning to the lineup and the emergence of Christian Watson as the WR1, Wicks and Golden's fantasy value is hurting. In Week 14, Wicks registered a 12% route participation rate, and Golden finished the day at 15%. Wicks and Golden are WR6 stash options.
Jack Bech | Raiders: Bech has a 67% route participation rate and 19% target share in two games with Greg Olson at the offensive controls for the Raiders. In Week 14, with Dont'e Thornton Jr. out, Bech was the WR2 behind Tre Tucker. The rookie notched a 78% route participation rate and 21% target share. Geno Smith left the game with a shoulder injury, but there is optimism for his availability in Week 15. Bech upgrades to WR5 territory, and the team could look to give him plenty of reps to see what their second-round pick has to offer.
Olamide Zaccheaus | Bears: Zaccheaus replaced Odunze with an 85% route participation rate in Week 14. However, he was only able to tally a 9% target share. For the season, Zaccheaus has a respectable 20% TPRR. Zaccheaus is a WR5 in games without Odunze.
Pat Bryant | Broncos: Bryant has surpassed Troy Franklin, operating as the WR2 in Denver over the last two games since the bye. In those two contests, he has posted 17% and 14% target shares, with 54 and 48 Utilization Scores, respectively. He has 7.2 fantasy points in both games. Bryant still needs more playing time before we can trust him in fantasy lineups. He has route participation rates of 77% and 67%. His historical comps have averaged 9.0 points, with the majority (43%) falling in WR5 territory. But if his role continues to ascend, Bryant could enter WR3 territory. He is available in 97% of leagues.
Troy Franklin | Broncos: Franklin has fallen out of favor in Denver. He posted a season-low 40% route participation rate in Week 14. That comes on the heels of his second-lowest mark of 67% in Week 13 after the bye. Franklin falls to WR6 territory and is dropable in most formats.

Tight End

Colby Parkinson | Rams: Parkinson emerged from Week 14 with a 71% route participation rate and 17% target share. The Rams are leaning into their multiple-TE packages, but Parkinson could emerge from the pack. If this is the beginning of a trend, Parkinson would move into borderline TE1 territory, but Tyler Higbee could return in Week 16.
Darren Waller | Dolphins: Waller remained in a rotation with Greg Dulcich in Week 14, collecting a 59% route participation rate. For Waller to emerge as a fantasy-relevant option, he needs more playing time. He has scored 6.7 and 2.7 points in two games with 15% target shares since his return. Waller is a mid-range TE2 until we see more playing time.
Isaiah Likely | Ravens: Likely has notched back-to-back 12.5-point fantasy outings. His day could have even been bigger if a questionable call regarding a football move hadn't negated a TD reception. Unfortunately, Likely is still in a part-time role. Over the last two games, he has had a route participation rate of 55%. While he is a talented player, he remains in a run-first offense in a limited role, making his fantasy production highly unpredictable. Likely is a TE2 option with TE1 contingency upside should Mark Andrews miss any time.
Mark Andrews | Ravens: Andrews bombed in the fantasy boxscore with 1.9 points. However, he saw his highest route participation rate of the season at 86%. Andrews ranks second on the Ravens in TPRR (18%) behind Zay Flowers. Should this be the beginning of a trend, Andrews would be due for bigger performances the rest of the way. Andrews remains a low-end TE1 for now.
Mike Gesicki | Bengals: Gesicki popped for 20.6 fantasy points in Week 14 against the Bills. However, he remained in a massive TE rotation, notching a 47% route participation rate. If I had to choose between Gesicki and Likely, I would lean toward the Bengals TE thanks to their pass-first offense. Gesicki is a boom-bust mid-range TE2.

Team Trends

We now have five weeks of data for most teams, making it a good time to examine team-level trends that affect fantasy production. You can find the data across all 32 NFL teams in the Team Styles tab of the Utilization Report tools.

Redzone Drive Rate vs. Touchdowns Drive Rate: Percentage of drives that reach the red zone versus how often the team is scoring a touchdown per drive. Large deltas indicate room for positive or negative regression.
- Chiefs: 13% (41% vs. 28%)
- Cardinals: 13% (35% vs. 22%)
- Saints: 11% (25% vs. 14%)
- Texans: 11% (28% vs. 17%)
- Chargers: 11% (34% vs. 23%) - Pre MNF
Dropback Over Expected (DBOE): How often teams pass the ball compared to their peers when considering the score differential over the last five weeks:
- Cardinals: 10%
- Raiders: 7%
- Broncos: 6%
- Chiefs: 5%
- Titans: 4%
- Bengals: 4%
- Patriots: 4%
  ——
- Bears -5%
- Jets: -5%
- Saints: -5%
- Commanders: -6%
- Ravens: -7%
- Falcons: -8%
- Giants: -9%
- Dolphins: -9%
- Other notable DBOE trends:
  - Bears: -5% DBOE in nine games since their bye week
  - Cardinals: 7% DBOE in eight games with Jacoby Brissett as the starter
  - Titans: 2% DBOE in seven games under Mike McCoy
  - Jaguars: -3% DBOE in six games since their bye week
  - Lions: 1% DBOE in five games with Dan Campbell calling plays
  - Saints: -6% DBOE in five games with Tyler Shough as the starter
  - Commanders: -7% DBOE in the last three games with Marcus Mariota as the starter
  - Browns: -3% DBOE in three games with Shedeur Sanders as the starter
  - Giants: -13% DBOE in three games under Mike Kafka (pre MNF)
  - Falcons: -8% DBOE in three games with Kirk Cousins as the starter (with Drake London out)
  - 49ers: -6% DBOE in two games since Brock Purdy's return
  - Bengals: 6% DBOE in two games with Joe Burrow back
  - Chargers: -12% DBOE in their first game after the bye with Justin Herbert nursing a hand injury (pre MNF)
  - Raiders: -8% DBOE in two games with Greg Olson calling plays
Neutral Playclock: Teams that are leaving more or less time on the playclock when the score is within three points (neutral situations) over the last five weeks. The NFL average is 8.3 seconds.
- Cowboys: 13.9
- Chiefs: 10.6
- Lions: 9.8
- Chargers: 9.4 (pre MNF)
- Falcons: 9.2
- Broncos: 9.1
  ——
- Titans: 6.5
- Jaguars: 6.4
- Panthers: 5.5
- Cardinals: 5.2
Play action pass rate: Teams that are utilizing play action the most per dropback over the last five weeks, which adds value to WRs and TEs on a per-route basis in fantasy:
- Rams: 44%
- Dolphins: 43%
- Bears: 38%
- Colts: 35%
- Lions: 35%
- Cowboys: 32%
- Bills: 31%
  ——
- Chiefs: 21%
- Cardinals: 21%
- Jets: 20%
- Vikings: 20%
- Chargers: 19% (Pre MNF)
- Saints: 17%
- Bengals: 17%

Players Mentioned in this Article

JahmyrGibbs
RBDET
PPG
12.49
HaroldFanninQ
TECLE
PPG
5.35
RJHarvey
RBDEN
PPG
7.19
Proj
11.81
MichaelWilson
WRARI
PPG
7.03